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| Howard lashes out at "old Europe" |
| 01.31.05 (10:33 am) [edit] |
JOHN Howard has lashed out at "old Europe", describing criticism of the US as "unfair and irrational", as global tensions grow over the Iraq war and free trade.
During a vigorous panel debate on US global relations at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, several European officials attacked President George W. Bush's Iraq policy, but Mr Howard stood up to defend his ally. Earlier in the summit, Mr Howard attacked the European Union over the reintroduction of wheat export subsidies, which he said harmed underdeveloped nations and were contrary to free trade.
"Some of the criticism (of the US) by some of the Europeans is unfair and irrational," Mr Howard said in the panel debate, organised by Britain's BBC TV.
"I mean the negative mindset of the last five minutes (of this debate) is ridiculous - of course America has made mistakes," he said.
Later Mr Howard told The Australian he found the European "irrational level of anti-Americanism" perplexing.
"It is a sign of parochialism and it is disturbingly intense."
He said the BBC debate "was based on an anti-American mindset which was established right at the beginning by the moderators from the BBC".
Advertisement: Mr Howard said anti-Americanism had already affected world co-operation.
"But is very important to remember it is confined to sectors of Europe - not all Europeans. In that debate there was a significantly different tone taken by the Latvian President to that taken by the German and other contributors," Mr Howard said. "The British have a different view through their Government, but there remains in Britain some of the old jealousies that have always been there. "I found the French and German attitude has lingered longer than I thought it might, and longer than is in anyone's interests." EXACTLY!!!!
Attacking Europe over its reintroduction of wheat export subsidies, Mr Howard urged the US not to follow suit. "Nothing would help underdeveloped countries more than the removal of trade subsidies and trade barriers.
"If the nations of Europe and North America ... really wanted to help many of the developing countries, then they could do more to help in changing their trade polices than they could through official development assistance," Mr Howard said.
EU and US exporters face increased competition from cheaper grain from Argentina and former Soviet countries that have swelled the global output.
If the US tries to match the EU, analysts fear this could extend the slump in grain prices, which fell to a 20-month low in the US last week.
Mr Howard also held discussions with Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal Kahrrazi over efforts by the International Atomic Energy Agency to ensure Tehran abandons its nuclear program.
"We obviously expressed our concern about the nuclear issue, and we talked on Iraq. He supports the democratic process in Iraq and was more positive about the likely election turnout than many have been," Mr Howard said.
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| C'est Rien: The great transatlantic rift may end with a shrug, not a bang |
| 01.31.05 (10:29 am) [edit] |
The presidential results were in, and the good people of Europe were shocked. A reckless right-winger, famous for thrusting around his military hardware any which way regardless of foreign opinion, had won a surprisingly easy election, and now my shell-shocked friends were talking about moving far away. You just had to make sure not to show up with a flag-sticker on your car, because it would probably be keyed by angry locals.
The year was 1995, the country was France, and the new president was Jacques Chirac.
We forget sometimes how foreign our obsessions of the moment will seem 10 years from now. Was it just a decade ago when Republicans were the party of balanced budgets and junking the Education Department, while earnest liberals championed regime change abroad? Why yes it was.
For the last 12 months and more, those obsessed with the diplomatic fallout between Washington and Paris have contorted themselves into positions of either exaggerated hostility or premature rapprochement. France is the back-stabbing enemy that needs to be destroyed; Bush is a cowboy Hitler who must be stopped; and/or the free world as we know it depends on sweet reconciliation between the two.
The only thing uniting these three camps is the belief that the French-American conundrum is at all urgent or even important. Increasingly, and despite my own contributions to the genre, I'm becoming convinced it is not. The French are too powerless, the Bush Administration is too unconcerned, and (most importantly?) the high traffic of goods and humans between the two countries may yet ensure that World War IV will not be a dispute over unpasteurized cheese.
In my annual Christmas visit to France, I was struck by three themes: How half-hearted even the anti-Bushism has become (several acquaintances who despise the man nevertheless criticized the Gallic "virus" of anti-Americanism); how marginalized the French feel in global affairs as a direct result of Chirac's ham-handed diplomacy, and how envious they are of the dynamism in previously mockable neighbors like Spain.
"We are really losing influence now, even in Europe," one journalist friend told me. "Chirac has really screwed up."
The French have always punched above their diplomatic weight, but that's a historical accident of sorts that seems destined to decrease. With the demise of colonialism and the rise of the United States, French is no longer the language of diplomacy, let alone business or culture. Signs of slippage are everywhere, from the storefront signage in Paris (where English is pervasive, regardless of rules), to allegedly Francophone countries like Romania. I spent three weeks in the latter last year, and almost every "bonjour" was met with a "hello," and English-language publications outnumbered French by something like 10 to 1.
Crucially, the expansion of the European Union—often portrayed by American Euroskeptics as some kind of insidious French plot—is not increasing Paris' power, it's diluting it. Chirac's obscene and ultimately failed attempt at punishing Central Europeans for supporting George Bush's Iraq policy has emboldened Poles and Czechs who were already more oriented toward Washington. With integration now a fact on the ground, and not some far-off lure, New Europe has less reason than ever to bow and scrape at the beck and call of Paris and Bonn.
France's semi-permanent high-unemployment economic crisis is also leaching its power. Countries to the north, south, east and west are showing more vitality in growth and job-creation, and are inevitably catching up in culture as well. Small wonder that Chirac is agitating loudly for a kiss-and-make-up with Bush.
But from Washington's side, no matter how much Condoleezza Rice talks up "restoring America's reputation in the capitals of Europe through a vigorous campaign of public diplomacy," and no matter how many fence-mending tours Bush takes in his second term, the substance of American policy is bound to remain the same: Far more militarily assertive in the Middle East than Old Europe would like, more sympathetic toward Israel than Brussels ever seems to be, and less inclined to heed international public opinion than any presidency in at least a generation.
In this environment, the question is not whether divisions exist and will continue to until Chirac and Bush finally leave office—they do, and they will—but rather why anyone really cares. After all, Germany hasn't exactly volunteered for the Coalition of the Willing, but you don't see any Bill O'Reilly Beemer boycotts or Young Republicans pouring out steins of Lowenbrau in front of the German Embassy. France, for all its ability to irritate, represents just 4 percent of the EU vote, 13 percent of its population, and 7 percent of the United Nations Security Council. Its economy is around the size of California's. To paraphrase Johnny Rotten, they're just another country.
If anything, the mutual hostility and whither-the-West angst is a slightly dysfunctional way of saying "Je t'aime." More than one percent of each country visits the other every year, and the French are as obsessed with American pop culture as the Yanks are with perceived Gallic wine snobbery. We hate because we still care, and because both sides have managed to project identifiable national personalities in an increasingly transnational world.
So raise a glass of Bordeaux-grown Mondavi, slip in a nice Luc Besson flick, and party like it's 2015.
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| We Can't Get Clintons Out of the News |
| 01.31.05 (10:23 am) [edit] |
First, after Bush finished his speech during the Republican Convention... Bill Clinton had a heart problem. AND NOW.... Iraq had a successful elections, Knowingly, this will help Bush with his ratings... then suddenly Hllary Clinton passed out ..
Now this is beginning to be fishy. What i think is, these Clintons' problems are all staged to take away the medias attention from Bush. Her collapse was definately faked.
She's refused to go to the hospital and will give her speech this afternoon. She's just trying for some sympathy and trying to look heroic.
And then Jaque Chirac was delivering a speech on the success of Iraqi voting all due to the "international community" when he suddenly began vomiting what appeared to be a white liquid that some have said, "smelled like rotting fish or semen". It was also noted that the representatives of Syria, Palestine, and Jordan were furiously scratching their pubic region as all this was going on.
Nothing is known at this time other than Chirac was headed off to a hospital in Paris that specializes in pumping stomachs and has had such stellar clientel as Elton John, George Michael, and Arafat.
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| The Swiss Rip Chirac a New One |
| 01.28.05 (5:47 am) [edit] |
A proposal by French President Jacques Chirac to tax countries which retain banking secrecy has caused controversy in Switzerland. The Swiss finance minister and banks attacked the suggestion, while non-governmental organisations welcomed it. At the opening of the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos on Wednesday, Chirac put forward a set of “experimental measures” to finance the fight against Aids. He called for at least $10 billion (SFr12 billion) to be spent annually on combating the disease instead of the $6 billion currently spent. Among the measures was a proposal that countries which retain banking secrecy – including Switzerland – be charged for income lost through tax evasion. He also called for a tax on international financial transactions. Swiss Finance Minister Hans-Rudolf Merz said Chirac had no right to interfere in what was an internal matter. “It's an interference in the internal policy of our country,” Merz told the media. “The French president has the right to express himself about these issues, but he has to accept the fact that we have our own policy rules and a clear policy on banking secrecy. These issues can be raised in bilateral negotiations at which we will continue to defend banking secrecy.” “Bizarre” Swiss banks were also critical of the “bizarre” suggestion and denied that banking secrecy was responsible for a flight of capital. Michel Dérobert, general secretary of the Swiss Private Bankers’ Association said Chirac had “confused separate issues”. Swiss Bankers Association spokesman James Nason went further in his criticism:
"The idea is rather bizarre and has a ring of Saint-Simon and early 19th century utopian socialism about it," he told swissinfo.
"Tax evasion and capital flight are symptoms of internal problems in a country and are not caused by the existence of banks in, for example, Monaco or Switzerland.
“A far better idea would be if the oh-so-pious French were to impose a tax on nasty tin-pot dictators who purchase real estate on the Côte d'Azur, topped up with a tax on French bank loans and arms sales to countries with brutally repressive regimes." NGO approval But Swiss NGOs welcomed Chirac’s ideas as a sign that politicians were taking up the ideas of opponents of globalisation. “It’s a very good idea,” commented Andreas Missbach of the Berne Declaration. He said that countries like Switzerland that had banking secrecy swallowed up the tax money of other countries, and it made complete sense to impose a special tax on them. The Tax Justice Network said many multinationals managed their business in such a way that they avoided paying taxes in the countries in which they operated. According to the NGO, this tax evasion costs developing countries around $50 billion a year. swissinfo with agencies
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| Oh Fairmoon, That'so Raven |
| 01.27.05 (2:50 pm) [edit] |
By now everyone should have heard about That'so Raven and her scary belief systems. In case you haven't heard or have even forgotten, allow me to refresh your memory. The first thing I want to bring up is that you may be wondering why contumelious ingrates latch onto Raven's notions. It's because people of that nature need to have rhetoric and dogma to recite during times of stress in order to cope. That's also why the unalterable law of biology has a corollary that is generally overlooked. Specifically, Raven's tracts are based on a denial of reality, on the substitution of a deliberately falsified picture of the world in place of reality. And this dishonesty, this refusal to admit the truth, will have some very serious consequences for all of us as soon as our backs are turned. This is kind of a touchy subject to some people. That said, let me continue.
I might add: If you can make any sense out Raven's grotty, unprincipled scribblings, then you must have gotten higher marks in school than I did. Woe to the hate-filled fomenters of revolution who usher in the beginning of an antisocial new era of exclusionism! Raven believes that demagogism brings one closer to nirvana. That's just wrong. She further believes that you and I are inferior to depraved exhibitionists. Wrong again!
As I gaze into my crystal ball, I see that her stooges will destroy our moral fiber faster than you can say "characteristicalness". Truth be told, her lies come in many forms. Some of her lies are in the form of witticisms. Others are in the form of protests. Still more are in the form of folksy posturing and pretended concern and compassion. I would never take a job working for Raven. Given her fork-tongued sentiments, who would want to? Compared to these sniffish turncoats, every pimp is a man of honor. (Actually, you should never allow a day to go by in which you do not bring this fundamental truth to at least one new person, but that's not important now.) We must reinforce notions of positive self esteem. Those who claim otherwise do so only to justify their own randy, snooty anecdotes. Let us now compile readers' remarks and suggestions and use them to rage, rage against the dying of the light, because in that is our only hope for the future.
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| More UNhonesty |
| 01.27.05 (10:37 am) [edit] |
I warned you; some of you didn't believe. I told you that on or about January 26, UN Undersecretary General and Disaster Relief Coordinator Jan "Stingy" Egeland would hold a press event to boast of what the UN has done on tsunami relief over the past month since the December 26 disaster. He did.
You can find the two documents thus far put out by the UN here and here. The Diplomad wants to underline that these documents appear on the UN's official web site; they are what the UN wants you to know; they comprise the official UN party line; they are not interpretations by journalists or bloggers.
Let's go to the second document first. This is what the UN is handing out in New York and elsewhere as their UN assistance fact sheet,
OCHA Fact sheet on UN response in First Month after Indian Ocean Tsunami
This was largest earthquake in the world in 40 years. 12 countries separated by thousands of miles of ocean were affected.
More than 20 foreign militaries have lent their aircraft, naval vessels, search and rescue teams, logistical support, air traffic and ground handling crews, etc to the effort.
Donors have been extremely generous of the $977 million we seek, $775 million has been pledged --- Some $200 million is already in the bank. There has been unprecedented level of contributions from private sector and world public. Private contributions total $188 million.
A massive logistical operation has been established through the good work of the UN Joint Logistics Center-- It includes an airbridge that brings in supplies from around the world. In Indonesia alone, the UN and IOM have a fleet of 300 trucks. The UN also has 11 helicopters and 3 huge cargo ships operational in Sumatra.
In the first 31 days, every major community has received some sort of aid. The humanitarian situation has stabilized everywhere except pockets in Indonesia and Somalia.
No major outbreaks of communicable diseases have occurred.
Across the region: The World Food Programme is already reaching more than 1.2 million people with food out of a target population of 2 million.
More than 500,000 people are being provided with clean water. Students are going back to school; 60,000 started back to classes in Sumatra today. Hundreds of thousands more will return in February.
Sri Lanka: A WHO strategy targeting one million people is underway. More than 700,000 people are being fed (100% of target population). School supplies for 200,000 students have been delivered.
Indonesia: Shelter has been provided for more than 250,000 people. Malaria control program for 200,000 people. Five UN coordination offices have been established Aceh. 100 UN staff on the ground. Food aid now reaching 330,000, will soon reach 500,000.
Somalia: UNICEF is reaching 15,000 people with basic supplies. More than 20,000 people receiving food. Clean water has been brought to 1250 households.
We will focus on Indonesia, The country most affected by the quake and tsunami and the one where we were working, saw the UN up close and personal, and know best. The press release is deceptive and misleading. Its author has a future in advertising, or working for the next John Kerry campaign.
So, "20 foreign militaries lent" their assets, eh? Lent? To whom? Not to the UN, that's for sure. For at least three of the past four weeks, the UN had nothing to do with the operations of the "20 foreign militaries." The UN certainly was not directing the Aussies, who were the first ones in; they blazed the path for the rest and thousands of people owe them their lives. They weren't running the assets of the Kiwis or the Singaporeans, either, and they sure weren't running ours. Up until just a few days ago, those "20" foreign militaries were Aussies, Singaporeans, Kiwis (who've gotten little credit for the fine work they've done), and Yanks with a modest but appreciated assist as of about 10-12 days ago of the Spanish and the Pakistani militaries. The coordinating was being done by the Australians, the USA and the Indonesian military. Up until just about four or five days ago, except for the disaster tourists such as Annan and Bellamy, the UN WAS NOWHERE TO BE SEEN -- except quite overwhelmingly in Jakarta's luxury hotels, a few UNocrats in Medan, and a tiny handful at the airport in Aceh writing up press releases claiming all the credit for the UN and bad-mouthing the hard-working Aussies and Americans.
The puffery about the UN Joint Logistics Centre is just that puffery. The UNJLC, as of today, is still not completely functional in Indonesia. To be fair, they seem to have brought in some good people (some not so good) who should do a credible job coordinating the much-reduced relief activity anticipated in the days ahead as US, Australian, and New Zealand forces depart. It is not clear, however, that the Indonesian military couldn't do it alone, but, international donor politics demand a UN stamp.
And the 300 trucks? Notice how the UN press release rolls together IOM and UN. It would be akin to stating, "Between them the United States and Mexico have 12 aircraft carrier battlegroups." Technically true, but . . . The overwhelming majority of those trucks are IOM's -- arranged and paid for by USAID. The Indonesian Minister of Defense noted, January 16, "The U.S. Military [in Aceh] has been the backbone of the logistical operations providing assistance to all afflicted after the disaster. We'd like to pay tribute to the soldiers, sailors, Marines, and airmen of the U.S. Forces deployed in Aceh throughout the relief effort." He didn't say the UN.
The press release is vague about who provided shelter and malaria control. For good reason: the UN has done VERY little of that. USAID and the USN have done the majority of it. Same with the claim about reaching hundreds-of-thousands of people with food aid. The UN didn't do that; the Aussies and we did that. It was US, Australian, and New Zealand C-130s, and US boats (both USN and leased by USAID) that moved the food to Aceh and Medan. It was USN and USMC helos and LCACs that moved it out to the affected areas. The UN-leased helos -- paid for largely by the Japanese -- have only just begun to operate.
Let's take a quick look at the other UN document: the UN's rendition of Egeland's January 26 NY press conference. Excerpts follow,
PRESS BRIEFING ON TSUNAMI RELIEF EFFORT
Jan Egeland said today at Headquarters that the humanitarian response had been remarkably, perhaps singularly, effective, swift and muscular. Mr. Egeland said that the emergency-life-saving phase to save the survivors and avoid a second wave of death, destruction and disease had succeeded in just one month. Normally, such a phase took three or more months, but in this case, and despite monumental obstacles - no roads, few airstrips, no ports and torrential rains - the second death wave had been avoided
Credit was due, first and foremost, to the local communities and national governments, whose responses had been uniquely effective, he said. Secondly, there had been an enormously effective international relief effort by the United Nations, the Red Cross and Red Crescent movement, and hundreds of non-governmental organizations (NGOs). Thirdly, a bigger and more effective partnership than ever with military forces had emerged, involving 20 foreign militaries and the national militaries of all of the affected nations, bolstering the effort with aircraft, helicopters, naval vessels, search-and-rescue teams, logistical support, air-traffic and handling crews, and so forth.
Donors' response had been unprecedented and generous, he said, drawing attention to the $775 million in firm pledges to the flash appeal for $977 million. Some $200 million had been received, and another $250 million was "in the mail". Another major achievement had been in the area of logistics. Huge bottlenecks had been foreseen, but most had been solved early on through the identification of alternate routes, airports and transport means. The joint logistical services of the United Nations and its coordination mechanisms had largely worked to his satisfaction.
The number of people already receiving food was 1.2 million, and that was likely to increase to perhaps 2 million at the peak, he said. More than 500,000 people had already been provided with clean water. Students were increasingly returning to school; today, 60,000 started school in Aceh and Sumatra
He appreciated Oxfam for calling on countries that had pledged money to "pay up". Some, like Japan, had been outstanding -- it had pledged, committed and disbursed and transferred $229 million within days. Altogether, $450 million had either been received or was on its way, and that was very impressive, he added. He now had a total pledge from the United States of $39 million, all of which had been received; the World Food Programme had received $28 million from that country. Japan was in a class of its own, but other large donors included Norway, Sweden, the European Commission and Germany. [H]e said that, if things had gone slower, if it had been "business as usual", there would have been a higher casualty figure. Against all odds and expectations, some assistance had reached even the most remote places.
Again, the dishonesty is breathtaking.
When it's convenient, Egeland rolls in work done by non-UN actors and makes it seem like the UN has done it, e.g., USAID "cash-for-work" programs have cleared the rubble away and made school re-openings possible -- the UN didn't do that!
Yet when talking about pledges, he mentions only money pledged or given the UN! He attempts to minimize the role of the USA -- by far the biggest contributor to the relief effort. He praises Japan for being in a class by itself. Why? The Japanese have given the UN $229 million. The US is giving only a relatively small portion of its tsunami relief moneys to the UN, so it doesn't count -- quite aside from the fact that even prior to the tsunami the USA was providing about 40% of the WFP and UNHCR budgets. Notice how he can not bring himself to mention AIRCRAFT carriers; they presumably get covered under "and so forth." To mention aircraft carriers would be to acknowledge that the USA is in a class by itself. Once again, we see the nonsense about the logistics operation and the overcoming of bottlenecks; the UN didn't do that. He makes absolutely NO mention of the superb work done by the Australians or the Kiwis. Why? Because they did it on their own or in coordination with the US. The countries praised are precisely those who have done the least in the real world to alleviate the tsunami caused suffering. Why? Because they believe in "business as usual" and give their money to the UN.
The Diplomad finds absolutely stunning the language about the response being "remarkably, perhaps singularly, effective, swift and muscular" and that it "had succeeded in just one month. Normally, such a phase took three or more months . . ." Why was it so quick and effective? Thanks to President Bush who quickly threw together a "core group" of nations that responded right away, without waiting for the UN. Precisely the group that Clare Short and her ilk so criticized for undermining the UN.
Pathetic.
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| Dangerous Tom & Jerry Games Over Iran |
| 01.27.05 (10:21 am) [edit] |
I take courage to fly combat missions over Iraq no doubt. But in my mind I would say that flying unarmed combat aircraft over Iran is even more so. If downed and captured, you could be rubber hosed or worse for years, until the war is over. Only for you the war has to start before it can be over. No people need freedom more than the citizens of the third axis of evil. No people want it more fervently either. By in large our service men and women believe that their prime directive is to help the weak and helpless defend themselves from the predetory despots of the world. Granted a lot of them are turd world countries full of dopes would sell their freedoms for a bottle of clean water, but they are victims non the less. And you would never find a panty wearing Frenchman doing a job that takes this much balls.
The U.S. Air Force is playing a dangerous game of cat and mouse with Iran's ayatollahs, flying American combat aircraft into Iranian airspace in an attempt to lure Tehran into turning on air defense radars, thus allowing U.S. pilots to grid the system for use in future targeting data, administration officials said.
"We have to know which targets to attack and how to attack them," said one, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The flights, which have been going on for weeks, are being launched from sites in Afghanistan and Iraq and are part of Bush administration attempts collect badly needed intelligence on Iran's possible nuclear weapons development sites, these sources said, speaking on condition of strict anonymity.
"These Iranian air defense positions are not just being observed, they're being 'templated,'" an administration official said, explaining that the flights are part of a U.S. effort to develop "an electronic order of battle for Iran" in case of actual conflict.
However, a Pentagon spokesman told UPI he was unaware of any such actions.
"We are not aware of any incursions into Iranian air space," said Cdr. Nick Balice, chief of media at the U.S. Central Command.
In the event of an actual clash, Iran's air defense radars would be targeted for destruction by air-fired U.S. anti-radiation or ARM missiles, he said.
A serving U.S. intelligence official added: "You need to know what proportion of your initial air strikes are going to have to be devoted to air defense suppression."
A CentCom official told United Press International that in the event of a real military strikes, U.S. military forces would be using jamming, deception, and physical attack of Iran's sensors and its Command, Control and Intelligence (C3 systems).
He also made clear that that this entails "advance, detailed knowledge of the enemy's electronic order of battle and careful preplanning."
Ellen Laipson, president and CEO of the Henry L. Stimson Center and former CIA Middle East expert, said of the flights, "They are not necessarily an act of war in themselves, unless they are perceived as being so by the country that is being overflown."
Laipson explained: "It's not unusual for countries to test each other's air defenses from time to time, to do a little probing -- but it can be dangerous if the target country believes that such flights could mean an imminent attack."
She said her concern was that Iran "will not only turn on its air defense radars but use them to fire missiles at U.S. aircraft," an act which would "greatly increase tensions" between the two countries.
The air reconnaissance is taking place in conjunction with other intelligence collection efforts, U.S. government officials said.
To collect badly needed intelligence on the ground about Iran's alleged nuclear program, the United States is depending heavily on Israeli-trained teams of Kurds in northern Iraq and on U.S.-trained teams of former Iranian exiles in the south to gather the intelligence needed for possible strikes against Iran's 13 or more suspected nuclear sites, according to serving and retired U.S. intelligence officials.
Both groups are doing cross border incursions into Iran, some in conjunction with U.S. Special Forces, these sources said.
They claimed the Kurds operating from Kurdistan, in areas they control. The second group, working from the south, is the Mujahedeen-e Khalq, listed by the State Department as a terrorist group, operating from southern Iraq, these sources said.
The use of the MEK for U.S.-intelligence-gathering missions strikes some former U.S. intelligence officials as bizarre. The State Department's annual publication, "Patterns of Global Terrorism," lists them as a terrorist organization.
According to the State Department report, the MEK were allies with Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein in fighting Iran and, in addition, "assisted Saddam in "suppressing opposition within Iraq, and performed internal security for the Iraqi regime."
After the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, U.S. forces seized and destroyed MEK munitions and weapons, and about 4,000 MEK operatives were "consolidated, detained, disarmed, and screened for any past terrorist acts, the report said.
Shortly afterwards, the Bush administration began to use them in its covert operations against Iran, former senior U.S. intelligence officials said.
"They've been active in the south for some time," said former CIA counterterrorism chief, Vince Cannistraro.
The MEK are said to be currently launching raids from Camp Habib in Basra, but recently Pakistan President Pervez Musharaff granted permission for the MEK to operate from Pakistan's Baluchi area, U.S. officials said.
Asked about the Musharaff decision, Laipson said: "Not a smart move. The last thing he (Musharaff) needs is another batch of hotheads on Pakistani soil."
A former senior Iranian diplomat told United Press International that the Kurds in the Baluchi areas of Pakistan can operate in freedom because the Baluchis "have no love for the mullahs of Iran."
In fact, in the early 1980s, there were massacres of Iranian Revolutionary Guards in the area by Baluchi militants who wish to be independent, he said.
Both covert groups are tasked by the Bush administration with planting sensors or "sniffers" close to suspected Iran nuclear weapons development sites that will enable the Bush administration to monitor the progress on the program and develop targeting data, these sources said.
"There is an urgent need to obtain this information, at least in the minds of administration hawks," an administration official said.
"This looks to be turning into a pretty large-scale covert operation," a former long-time CIA operator in the region told UPI. In addition to the air strikes on allegedly Iranian nuclear weapons sites, the second aim of the operation is to secure the support in Iran of those "who view U.S. policy of hostility towards Iran's clerics with favor," he said.
The United States is also attempting to erect a covert infrastructure in Iran able to support U.S. efforts, this source said. It consists of Israelis and other U.S. assets, using third country passports, who have created a network of front companies that they own and staff. "It's a covert infrastructure for material support," a U.S. administration official said.
The network would be able to move money, weapons and personnel around inside Iran, he said. The covert infrastructure could also provide safe houses and the like, he said.
Cannistraro, who knew of the program, said: "I doubt the quality of these kinds or programs," explaining the United States had set up a similar network just before the hostage-rescue attempt in 1980. "People forget that the Iranians quickly rolled up that entire network after the rescue attempt failed," Cannistraro said.
The administration's fear is that by possessing a nuclear weapon, Iran will gain a new stature and status in the region strengthening its determination to remove the U.S presence from the region and making its hostility seem more credible, U.S. officials said.
There is also the administration's fear that Iran, with Syria's help, will accelerate Palestinian terrorism as Israel withdraws from the Gaza Strip, these sources said.
So the United States, backed by Israel, is deadly earnest about neutralizing Iran's nuclear weapons site. "The administration has determined that there is no diplomatic solution," said John Pike, president of the online think-tank globalsecurity.org.
"Like the Israelis, the Bush administration has decided that forces of sweetness and light won't be running Iran any time soon, and that having atomic ayatollahs is simply not acceptable."
Said Cannistraro of the administration's policy: "Its very, very, very dangerous."
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| Cheney scares Europe more than Iran |
| 01.27.05 (5:21 am) [edit] |
European nerves are already jangled by investigative journalist Seymour Hersh’s report in the New Yorker that neoconservatives inside the Pentagon have been drawing up plans to attack Iran, including training commandos to assault suspected nuclear sites.
If the United States cooperated with Europe, it might have a chance of derailing the Iranian program. Cheney’s truculent statements, which purposely overlook the fact that Israel would be unlikely to attack Iran without U.S. approval, are counterproductive. He isn’t scaring the living daylights out of Iranians, but Europeans.
If the Bush administration is serious about improving relations with Europe, Vice President Cheney’s remarks on “Imus in the Morning” on MSNBC last week were a funny way to go about it. Cheney growled about the nation’s enemies, declaring that Israel “might well decide to act” independently of the United States to take out Iran’s nuclear capabilities.
European nerves are already jangled by investigative journalist Seymour Hersh’s report in the New Yorker that neoconservatives inside the Pentagon have been drawing up plans to attack Iran, including training commandos to assault suspected nuclear sites.
Given the havoc in Iraq, it’s hard to imagine that even this administration is spoiling for a fight with Tehran. The military option is lousy because the Iranians have probably buried their secret nuclear research sites, so such targets couldn’t easily be hit by bombs even if U.S. intelligence services knew where they were.
Even if European fears of a unilateral U.S. strike are exaggerated, Bush has steadfastly resisted joining the European Union to pursue diplomacy with Iran. While the Iranians woo the Europeans, the United States stands on the sidelines making empty gestures about going to the U.N. Security Council to impose sanctions that have no chance of being approved.
If the United States cooperated with Europe, it might have a chance of derailing the Iranian program. Cheney’s truculent statements, which purposely overlook the fact that Israel would be unlikely to attack Iran without U.S. approval, are counterproductive. He isn’t scaring the living daylights out of Iranians, but Europeans.
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| America's Might is Not Draining Away |
| 01.27.05 (5:17 am) [edit] |
The most recent doom-and-gloom forecast by Matthew Parris of the London Times would be hilarious if it were not so hackneyed. After all, Americans long ago have learned to grin any time a British intellectual talks about the upstart’s foreordained imperial collapse. And as in the case of our own intelligentsia’s gloominess, it is not hard to distinguish the usual prophets’ pessimistic prognostications from their thinly-disguised hopes for American decline and fall.
But this country is now in its third century and assurances that the United States is about through are getting old. In the early 20th century the rage was first Spengler and then Toynbee who warned us that our crass consumer capitalism would lead to inevitable spiritual decay. Next, the Hitlerians assured the Volk that the mongrel Americans could never set foot on German-occupied soil, so decadent were these Chicago mobsters and uncouth cowboys. Existentialism and pity for the empty man in the grey flannel suit were the rage of the 1950s, as Americans, we were told, had become depressed and given up in the face of racial inequality, rapid suburbanization, and the spread of world-wide national liberationist movements.
In the 1960s and 1970s we heard of the population bomb and all sorts of catastrophes in store for the United States and the world in general that had unwisely followed its profligate paradigm of consumption; yet despite Paul Ehrlich’s strident doomsday scenario, the environment got cleaner and the people of the globe richer. And then came the historian Paul Kennedy, who, citing earlier Spanish and English implosions, "proved" that the United States had played itself out in the Cold War, ruining its economy to match the Soviet Union in a hopeless arms race–publishing his findings shortly before the Russian empire collapsed and the American economy took off (again).
In the Carter ‘malaise years,’ we were warned about the impending triumph of ‘Asian Values’ and the supposed cultural superiority of Japan, Inc., which would shortly own most of whatever lazy and ignorant Americans sold them–before the great meltdown brought on by corruption, censorship, and ossified bureaucracies in Asia.
Currently Jared Diamond is back with Collapse, another grim tale from the desk of a Westwood professor, full of remonstrations about social inequality and resource depletion that we have come to expect from the rarified habitat in which tenured full professors thrive.
All that disenchantment is the context in which Matthew Parris now warns us that our military is overstretched and our economy weak–despite the fact that our gross domestic product is larger than ever and the percentage of it devoted to military spending at historic lows, far below what was committed during WWII, Korea, or Vietnam. The American military took out Noriega, Milosevic, the Taliban, and Saddam with a minimum of effort, and what followed was far better for both the long-suffering victims and the world at large. The difficult postbellum reconstruction in Iraq is costly and heartbreaking, but so far after September 11 we have lost fewer troops in 3 years of fighting that we did in one day during the Bulge or at Normandy. While Parris decries our slow decline, the United States alone will soon have the world’s only anti-ballistic missile system and the forward basing presence to preempt would-be nuclear rogue states before they imperil Americans. Europeans may brag of soft power, but in the scary world to come let us hope that they can bribe, beg, lecture, or appease Iranians, North Koreans, Chinese, and others to appreciate the realities of their postmodern world that has supposedly transcended violence and war.
It is true that Americans are worried about high budget deficits, trade imbalances, a weak dollar, and national debt; but we are already at work to rectify these problems, convinced that the correctives are not depression and chaos, but rather a little sobriety and sacrifice in what has been a breakneck rise in the standard of living the last 20 years, prosperity unmarked in the history of civilization. Better indicators of our health are low unemployment, low inflation, low interest rates, along with high worker productivity and innovation. Hollywood movies, New York books, Silicon Valley software and gadgetry, Pentagon arms, the English language, and popular culture show no signs of fading before French film, London publishing, Indian I-pods, Chinese aircraft carriers, the global preference for Mandarin or burquas for bare-navels and Levis.
Parris cites the rise of other economies; but they, not us, have the real problems ahead. The EU does not assimilate very well its immigrants–in contrast, more come to the US every year than from all other countries combined. Enormous apartheid communities of Muslims, full of simmering resentment, reside outside Paris and in the Netherlands, Scandinavia, and Germany, not in Detroit and New York. European socialism is facing a demographic nightmare; and soon budget shortfalls to pay for its utopian agenda will be made worse once the United States begins to withdraw its 50-year subsidy of the continent’s defense. History suggests that atheism and secularism are not indicators of strength but of apathy and aimlessness. The United States–not Europe, Russia, or China— is a religious community, and, pace Michael Moore, without the fundamentalist extremism of the Middle East and reactionary Islam.
China and India are the new tigers, but their rapid industrialization and urbanization have created enormous social and civic problems long ago dealt with by the United States. Each must soon confront environmentalism, unionism, minority rights, free expression, community activism, and social entitlements that are the wages of any citizenry that begins to taste leisure and affluence. China is fueled by industrious laborers who toil at cut-rate wages for 14 hours per day, but that will begin to moderate once an empowered citizenry worries about dirty air, bad backs, inadequate housing, and poor health care. The infrastructure of generations–bridges, roads, airports, universities, power grids–are well established and being constantly improved in the United States, and so there is a reason why a European would prefer to drink the water, get his appendix out, or drive in San Francisco rather than in Bombay, Beijing, Istanbul–or Paris or Rome.
Nowhere in the world is the rule of law as stable in the United States, which is the most transparent society on the globe and thus the most trusted for investors and entrepreneurs–no surprise given its hallowed Constitution and Bill of Rights. Parris notes the presence abroad of thousands of American troops, but does not ask whether any other country has, or will have, the air or sea lift capacity to project such power, force that allowed American ships and helicopters to save thousands after the tsunami when Europe’s lone Charles de Gaulle was nowhere to be seen. China and India, for all their robust economies, have neither the ability to help victims of mass disasters nor citizenries wealthy or generous enough to give hundreds of millions to strangers abroad.
All civilizations erode, but few citizenries are as sensitive to the signs of decay as Americans, who constantly innovate, experiment, and self-critique in a fashion unknown anywhere else. When we develop a class system based on British aristocratic breeding, accent, and social paralysis, or sink into a multicultural cauldron like the endemic violence of an India or Africa, or cease believing in either God or children like an Amsterdam or Brussels, or require the state coercion of a China to maintain harmony, or become a racialist state such as Japan, then it is time to worry.
But we are not there yet by a long shot.
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| Chirac proposes international tax to fight AIDS |
| 01.26.05 (11:10 am) [edit] |
He doesn't have even a tiny Incling that would intail handing our soverignty over to the likes of the UN. Never happen.
French President Jacques Chirac called for an "experimental" international tax to help fund the war against AIDS, suggesting it could be raised via a levy on airline tickets, some fuels or financial transactions.
In a speech via video link to political and business leaders in the Swiss resort of Davos, he said at least 10 billion dollars, 8.5 billions from the US(7.7 billion euros) a year was needed -- up from six billion (5.5 billions from the US) annually now -- to stem the spread of the disease.
Chirac, says that sending huge amounts of US dollars to the UN should cure Aids in the turd world within 25 years or longer.
Chirac, prevented from flying to the World Economic Forum here through poor weather, said that despite huge efforts so far, "we are failing in the face of this terrible pandemic."
He suggested options including: a "contribution" on international financial transactions, a tax on aviation and maritime fuel, a tax on capital movements in or out of countries which practised banking secrecy, or a "small levy" such as a dollar on the three billion airline tickets sold every year.
"What is striking about these examples," Chirac said, "is the disproportion between the modest efforts required and the benefits everyone would reap from them."
The president said developed countries should also create tax incentives to stimulate private donations to charity.
Chirac, one of the tightest wads the world has ever know, acknowledged that his proposal would be widely debated, an allusion to US opposition to any international tax, and said there was "no question" of treading on each country's right to set its own levies.
"But there is nothing to prevent states from cooperating and coming to an understanding on new resources and their allocation to a common cause," and besides, the OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAM (OFFP) has come to an end now that Sadam Husien has been deposed and the cash flow into the UN must be restarted. Chirac added.
He said a tax on international financial transactions would be implemented sparingly and at a very low rate and would not be an obstacle to normal market operations. It could raise 10 billion dollars a year, he went on.
A levy on capital movements would partially compensate for the consequences of tax evasion which damaged the poorest countries, and would be allocated to development.
The fuel tax would apply to air and sea transport and effectively end the current exemption regime.
Meanwhile, a small levy on plane tickets would not compromise the economic balance of the aviation sector, the president said.
Two years ago Chirac also raised the possibility of an international tax to help the fight against AIDS, but gave few details, while he has several times extolled the idea to help combat the negative effects of globalisation. That time he was with unexaggerated jaw dropping awe, and then spontaneous laughter. This time however, this reporter heard at least three people clapping way in the back. They turned out to be UN workers.
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| Militant Imams Under Scrutiny Across Europe |
| 01.25.05 (11:00 am) [edit] |
In nightly sermons broadcast on the Internet, Sheik Omar Bakri Muhammad, a 46-year-old Syrian-born cleric, has urged young Muslim men all over the world to support the Iraq insurgency on the front line of "the global jihad," investigators say.
He struck a similarly defiant tone this month at a rally attended by 500 people at a central London meeting hall, where a giant screen behind him showed images of the World Trade Center falling. "Allah akbar!" - "God is great" - some audience members shouted at the images.
After eavesdropping for months on his nightly praise of the Sept. 11 hijackers and of suicide bombings, Scotland Yard said last week that it was investigating Sheik Omar, the leader of Al Muhajiroun, Britain's largest Muslim group, and officials are exploring whether they can deport him. "We're fed up with him," said a senior British official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. "He needs to be stopped, or he needs to go."
The more aggressive approach toward Sheik Omar is part of an increasing effort to monitor and restrict militant imams in Britain and across Europe. Authorities have stepped up surveillance of militant mosques in several countries, including Germany and France. French officials deported an imam this month after officials said he was inspiring men to join the jihad.
One major concern, officials say, is that more heated religious rhetoric is encouraging young men to leave home to fight in Iraq.
Although the dimensions of the recruitment effort from Europe to Iraq are not clear, there are indications that it is intensifying.
On Sunday, the German police arrested a man suspected of being a member of Al Qaeda and charged him with recruiting men to carry out suicide bombings in Iraq. These arrests were part of an ongoing investigation in cooperation with the United States of recruitment and other terrorist activities in Europe. A senior German official said he was certain there would be additional arrests of militants inside the country who have set up sophisticated recruitment and smuggling networks that lead to Iraq.
Italian investigators say several recruits from Italy carried out bombing attacks in Baghdad. Swiss officials say they are concerned that several militant clerics have openly urged men to become terrorists. And in Jordan, senior officials say they have recently arrested several dozen men who intended to cross the Iraqi border to serve as foreign fighters.
Bohre Eddine Benvahia, the 33-year-old imam recently deported by France to Algeria, had urged young men in a working-class neighborhood of L'Ariane, outside Nice, to join jihad, French intelligence officials said.
Sheik Omar did not return repeated phone calls over the past several days. Last week, he denied in several interviews that he had urged people to become foreign fighters in Iraq, saying his comments had been taken out of context.
"I believe Muslims are obliged to support their Muslim brothers abroad - verbally, financially, politically," he told The Associated Press. "I never said, 'Go abroad.' But if people want to go abroad, it's a very good thing to do. But we never recruit people to go abroad."
News of the central London rally, which was first reported by United Press International, and portions of Sheik Omar's nightly Internet sermons, have alarmed senior British officials. In one sermon last week, Sheik Omar called Al Qaeda "the victorious group" that he said Muslims were "obliged" to join.
Home Secretary Charles Clarke has asked officials to investigate whether they can help relocate Sheik Omar to Syria or Lebanon.
Like their counterparts in Britain, counterterrorism officials in Germany say they have seen indications of an increase in attempts by groups there to recruit young fighters to travel to Iraq to fight. Some men in recent weeks have planned to go to Iraq to carry out suicide bombing missions, the officials said.
In the arrest on Sunday, prosecutors said a man they identified as Ibrahim Mohamed K., a 29-year-old Iraqi from Mainz, Germany, had persuaded a 31-year-old man, Yasser Abu S., to go to Iraq on a suicide bombing mission.
Prosecutors said Yasser Abu S. intended to fake his death in a car accident in Egypt and use the life insurance proceeds to pay for Qaeda activities in Germany and travel expenses to Iraq, where he planned to carry out a suicide bombing. The surnames of suspects in criminal cases are not disclosed in Germany.
"Stopping recruitment for Iraq where they may do harm to U.S. troops is our highest priority, and the Germans and other European governments are cooperating," a senior American counterterrorism official based in Europe said in an interview with The New York Times and the PBS program "Frontline." He said a would-be suicide bomber intending to travel to Baghdad was arrested early last fall in Germany. German officials said they were worried that recruitment had intensified there in recent months.
Last October, the International Institute for Strategic Studies estimated that 1,000 "foreign fighters" had entered Iraq to join the insurgency, although American military officials in Iraq have acknowledged that they are unsure of the numbers of outside fighters.
In raids in several German cities on Jan. 12, the German police arrested 22 people suspected of being militant Muslims while recovering dozens of forged passports and boxes of militant propaganda. A senior German law enforcement official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said many of the arrested men were members of Ansar al-Islam, recruiting young men to go to Iraq. "One of their projects was to recruit, but they also were smuggling people to Iraq," the official said. He declined to say how many people were estimated to have left Germany for Iraq.
Counterterrorism officials view some militant European mosques as a link in the Iraq recruiting chain, just as they came to see the importance of Al Quds mosque in Hamburg in the formation of the Qaeda cell led by Mohamed Atta, the leading hijacker in the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks in the United States. Senior officials say that in addition to their concern about European fighters going to Iraq, they also fear that the Iraq war has increased the possibility that terrorists might single out European countries, particularly Britain and Italy, whose leaders have not wavered in supporting the war.
Officials say that in some countries, their efforts to control activities at mosques are hampered by laws that protect religious expression and restrict what they can do to stop hateful speech. British officials say that if they want to deport an imam who they fear is inciting violence, the proceedings can often take months or even years. Under Britain's Terrorism Act of 2000, prosecutors can charge clerics for using "threatening, abusive or insulting behavior" to incite racial hatred.
In Britain, where 1.8 million Muslims live, elected officials are demanding that the police move quickly against several imams who they say have become far more vocal in recent weeks.
Sheik Omar, who was lived here since 1985 after he was deported from Saudi Arabia, warned that Britain must scale back its antiterrorism laws or it would face a "horrendous" response from angry Muslims. "I declare we should ourselves join the global Islamic camp against the global crusade camp," he said.
It is not just imams who have become outspoken in exhorting young men to become jihadists. At the rally sponsored by Sheik Omar, a young speaker named Abu Yahya Abderahman said: "We are at war. It's time for brothers, sisters and children to prepare. Prepare as much as you can, whether they are sticks or stones or bombs. Prepare as much as you can to defeat them, to terrorize them."
In the months after Sept. 11, diplomatic pressure built for Britain to move against outspoken imams. But it was not until last May that British officials arrested the most high-profile militant cleric, Abu Hamza al-Masri of the Finsbury Park mosque in north London. He was charged with soliciting or encouraging others to murder people who did not believe in the Islamic faith.
Mr. Masri also faces extradition to the United States, where he is charged with 11 terrorist counts, including trying to establish a terrorist training camp in Oregon. The Finsbury Park mosque was attended by Zacarias Moussaoui, now facing Sept. 11 terrorist charges in the United States, and Richard C. Reid, the so-called shoe bomber.
Now leading the mosque is another militant Muslim, Abu Abdullah, who said in an interview, "People see us as extremists because we don't compromise the religion of Allah."
Last month, the United Nations placed sanctions against Saad Fagih, a Saudi dissident living in London who is the leader of the Movement of Islamic Reform in Saudi Arabia. Mr. Fagih adamantly denies that he has any ties to Al Qaeda, but British officials say they are concerned about his activities, too.
Don Van Natta Jr. reported from London for this article, and Lowell Bergman from Europe. Souad Mekhennet contributed reporting from Frankfurt.
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| Tsunami Changes International Alliances |
| 01.24.05 (2:10 pm) [edit] |
Without any concern for the UN, the US proceeded to set up a core group of nations to deal with the disaster. Partners in the group were Australia, Japan and India. It is this alliance that will matter most to the US in the future. The four big Pacific democracies, three with strong Anglo-Saxon histories, will most likely develop into the central alliance of the twenty-first century.
In response to
the Anglo-Saxon alliance, France has once again attempted to dominate Europe through the EU while interfering with American foreign policy goals when strategically possible. Chief among such actions is the effort by the French to curry favor with the Chinese dictatorship, as well as with left-leaning Latin American nations, most notably Brazil. The problem with this traditional French strategy is that it leaves the pays des droits de l'homme in league with the world's most reprehensible regimes. On the other hand, the strategy does pay off somewhat with nations like Brazil, but unfortunately for France it's a strategy that requires more resources than France is able to muster.
In the European theatre alone, France is constantly forced to attempt to dominate the rest of the continent in order to gain its objectives, while Britain has been content to use well-timed alliances to achieve its goals, withdrawing from the continent when balance has once again been secured. Because France lacks the political and economic might to enforce its will it often is left to arrogant posturing, as was the case when it told the East Europeans that they had missed a good opportunity to shut up during the lead-up to the Iraq war. In this regard, the expansion of the EU is a disaster for France, as each new member dilutes French dominance.
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| Alternative to Debunked Darwinian Evolution |
| 01.19.05 (2:57 pm) [edit] |
Pennsylvania School District First in US to Offer Alternative to Debunked Darwinian Evolution
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